高寒2015-12-04

美国的加息政策是否会导致美元升职,从而导致人民币兑美元汇率降低,即人民币贬值吗?

有1个回答

米卫凌 2015-12-11

当美国九年来首次提高利率的话,两件事情可能发生。一方面,美元将进一步上涨,因为加息将被视为美国经济实力的标志。另一方面,鉴于金融市场有 “预测”这类型政策举措的趋向,我们也可以看到一个美元的调整,因为它已经因为人们期待加息而有了相当大的涨幅。交易者倾向于“买于传言,卖于事实”。从技术面来看,美元价格似乎有点过高了(超买)。
When the US will raise interest rates for the first time in nine years two things can happen. The dollar will rise further because it will be regarded as a sign of strength of the US economy. But given the fact financial markets tend to ‘predict’ these kind of policy moves, we could also see a correction for the US dollar, because it has enjoyed a pretty large ride up on the expectation of an interest rise. Traders tend to ‘buy on the rumor and sell on the fact’. From a technical perspective the dollar seems to be a little overpriced (overbought).

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